Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Predictions, Tuesday Nov. 3rd
Going on record for today's elections in Virginia, New Jersey and NY-23
Virginia: Robert McDonnell has opened up such a wide lead, there's no way R. Creigh Deeds and ACORN can steal the election. Virginia which went for Obama in 2008 by less than 5% turns Red again today.
New Jersey: Cris Christie has a narrow lead against incumbent governor (D.) John Corzine. Obama was in New Jersey over the weekend campaigning for Corzine, calling him a key ally in the White House. This was the signal to ACORN that Obama's doubled down on New Jersey. Prediction: Despite a property tax revolt in New Jersey, Corzine wins in a scandal riddled election with more complaints of ACORN fraud.
New York 23: Polling data over the weekend indicated that Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman had opened up a 9-11 point lead over Democrat Bill Owens, however the timing of some of these polls, their mechanism and data haven't been released making them suspect in my view. Prediction: Doug Hoffman in a squeaker.
One might think that if these predictions are true, that this isn't necessarily a referendum on Barak Hussein Obama. Au Contraire, it most certainly is. It's also a referendum on the state of the Republican Party in the United States.
Here's why: There are two Conservatives and one "Moderate Republican" in these three races. The Conservatives are in Virginia and NY-23. The "Moderate Republican" is in New Jersey. Conservatives win their races, my prediction is the moderate does not.
Both Obama and the Republican Party best take note of these results.
Virginia: Robert McDonnell has opened up such a wide lead, there's no way R. Creigh Deeds and ACORN can steal the election. Virginia which went for Obama in 2008 by less than 5% turns Red again today.
New Jersey: Cris Christie has a narrow lead against incumbent governor (D.) John Corzine. Obama was in New Jersey over the weekend campaigning for Corzine, calling him a key ally in the White House. This was the signal to ACORN that Obama's doubled down on New Jersey. Prediction: Despite a property tax revolt in New Jersey, Corzine wins in a scandal riddled election with more complaints of ACORN fraud.
New York 23: Polling data over the weekend indicated that Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman had opened up a 9-11 point lead over Democrat Bill Owens, however the timing of some of these polls, their mechanism and data haven't been released making them suspect in my view. Prediction: Doug Hoffman in a squeaker.
One might think that if these predictions are true, that this isn't necessarily a referendum on Barak Hussein Obama. Au Contraire, it most certainly is. It's also a referendum on the state of the Republican Party in the United States.
Here's why: There are two Conservatives and one "Moderate Republican" in these three races. The Conservatives are in Virginia and NY-23. The "Moderate Republican" is in New Jersey. Conservatives win their races, my prediction is the moderate does not.
Both Obama and the Republican Party best take note of these results.
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